Chapter 168: Handheld Storm
Chapter 168: Handheld Storm
On the third day after all the formalities were completed, You Hongyin boarded the return flight. He stayed at home for a few days, left money for his mother, who could only watch others play mahjong every day, and then went to the largest financial city.
Because, there is the largest futures exchange in China, and there are also a group of people who are addicted to the capital market.
In the past, when You Hongyin was playing the stock market, he used the combination of the two methods to make a fairly high-precision judgment, and then he made a big killing in this muddy water.
These two methods are technical analysis and fundamental analysis.
The basic analysis method focuses on the analysis of the general economic situation, the operation and management status of various companies, industry dynamics and other factors, so as to study the value of stocks and measure the level of stock prices.
Technical analysis is to study the past and current behavioral responses of the market through the records of charts or technical indicators, so as to speculate on the future price trend.The main content of the technical indicators it is based on is calculated from data such as stock prices, trading volume, or ups and downs. Technical analysis only cares about the changes in the securities market itself, without considering the economic, political, and economic aspects that will have a certain impact on it. Aspects and other external factors.
To put it simply, the basic analysis method looks at the value of the company itself, while the technical analysis is to jump out of all other factors and build a model from the data to get the final ups and downs results.
The technical analysis method is simple, it just needs to establish a huge data model of the computing module, but in terms of basic analysis, You Hongyin obtains a large amount of actual situation data by illegal means of hackers most of the time.This is one of the important reasons why he is invincible.
The method of futures research is very similar to that of stocks. One is to look at the fundamentals, whether there is any short-term demand change for this commodity or currency, whether there are longs and shorts stirring up troubles and so on.The second is to put aside these, find a reliable data model purely based on past historical data, and follow the data in everything.
The two methods have advantages and disadvantages, and may even produce opposing effects, which is also a historical difficulty in futures.
Today, You Hongyin cannot use black technology to obtain first-hand information, so he has to use another method.
He needs to understand the situation of the entire industry. He doesn't want to look for inside information like those followers who only know how to listen to 'insider information' and don't distinguish between true and false. He wants to know what is going on and analyze the general environment in the industry. .
So, he rented an apartment near the financial circle and lived there.
After observing the futures market for more than a week, You Hongyin finally caught the fluctuation of a futures.
You Hongyin could tell from this futures that there was a struggle between bulls and bears.
The so-called long and short are not complicated. If you are optimistic about the rise of this futures, you are long. On the contrary, if you think this futures will fall, you are short.
In the futures market, it is very normal for bulls and shorts to wrestle. Everyone is trying to earn more benefits. If you completely trample the other side, it is your own victory. And the profit, because of the leverage principle of futures, Can be scary big.
This is also the biggest reason why many world-class financial giants can turn the clouds upside down.
And this kind of wrestling between the two sides is You Hongyin's opportunity.
But, who will win?
When he has nothing to do, Gu Tianhu will occasionally ask some basic questions boringly, such as the relationship between exchanges, securities companies and customers. He doesn't quite understand the relationship between them.And You Hongyin would explain to him in words he could understand.
The exchange is like a casino. It is not responsible for the winning or losing of gamblers, but only for charging fees. Securities companies are the waiters in the casino, responsible for attracting customers and helping them gamble, and the big retail investors who bring large sums of money to buy futures go to Casino gamblers.
It was these more vivid and wonderful explanations that made Gu Tianhu gradually understand the basic gameplay of those line graphics, at least not as it was at the beginning, completely missing the point.
This is also one of You Hongyin's goals, no matter how powerful you are, he won't be able to sense a white eye.
"Do you think this futures is worth your shot?" Gu Tianhu asked.
"Yes, what's the matter, have you seen what you think today?" You Hongyin asked.
"It keeps going up and down, and the rise and fall are so big, is there someone fighting?" Gu Tianhu and You Hongyin have watched several related movies and TV shows together, even if they don't understand the real principle, they can say a few words up.
"Then do you think it will rise or fall?" You Hongyin said.
Gu Tianhu hesitated.
But in the end he chose to go up.Because although it is ups and downs now, its general trend is still upward.
You Hongyin said: "Then I will choose to go short."
This futures wrestling round was very lingering, but You Hongyin seemed to have spotted it, picked a small peak, and put all the funds in his hand into it.
The huge market share of futures today cannot be shaken by a mere million. This wave of capital inflows has not brought any impact on the overall situation. This is also the helplessness of retail investors. They can only follow the trend instead of grasping the trend.
At the close of today, this stalemate is still the same, but whether it is on the forum or in any futures exchange group, this futures quickly attracted everyone's attention, and many people joined the bull side.Using the many experiences summarized in those forums, it is to do things not to go against the market. Obviously, this futures has increased due to the impact of the recent external market. Those short sellers who try to go against the market are afraid that their heads will be smashed. .
You Hongyin, on the other hand, can see from the price fluctuation data that the short sellers have strong financial strength, and now they are fighting for a while and retreating, but they are just bait in disguise, just wanting to catch a big meal.
This kind of tactics is very normal, but how many people can dig out the truth if these situations are hidden in the extremely complicated futures market.
Although the transactions on the exchange are transparent, and there is no such thing as the large amount of money in and out in the past, except for the index on the market, everyone knows nothing, but there are policies and countermeasures, and now large amounts of capital flow, It is absolutely not like in the past. Using one account has already realized the method of diversifying account entry and exit and reducing the amount of information released.
When the market opened the next day, the trend was still high, and Gu Tianhu couldn't help but cheer up: "It seems that these futures are no different from gambling, something to eat by luck."
You Hongyin remained silent.
The power of the bulls is getting stronger and stronger, and gradually the short side seems to lose its competitiveness, which means that more retail investors are attracted by the bulls.
In the current situation, it depends on when the short sellers close the line, whether they are greedy, or just close when they are good.You must know that even with the support of a strong capital chain, if the operation is not good, the selection of the starting point and the receiving point is not accurate enough, and there may be accidents.You must know that short selling is not impossible to capsize, and even easier to capsize. Risks and benefits have always been directly proportional.
The closing price of the second day was still similar to that of the first day. You Hongyin was not in a hurry. He felt that this situation would continue for another two days.
Sure enough, the next two days, the situation was still the same.After the weekend, when the market opened on Monday, a huge change took place.
The index of this copper futures began to fall in a straight line.
You Hongyin searched a little bit, and sure enough, the copper in the outer market has also dropped significantly. Copper futures are greatly affected by the outer market. It seems that this game has already been prepared.
It's a pity that the principal in my hand is a bit low.
However, You Hongyin understood that if he seized this opportunity, he could at least triple his funds.Although there are still not many, in today's general environment, three times is really a rare occurrence.
This herd mentality is particularly evident in the domestic securities market. When this futures skyrocketed last week, everyone joined the bull camp. Now, seeing the drop, they started to stop losses and then started shorting.However, these actions were not carried out at the most appropriate time, and doing the right thing at the wrong time could not really make up for your losses, but sent your own funds instead.
You Hongyin picked a low point and closed the futures position in his hand.
Maybe the short sellers will be reluctant to part with the last leftovers, but You Hongyin doesn't seem to be taking risks. What's more, he has no funds in his hands to call for margin. Instead of waiting for the lowest point of an unknown number, it is better to come out early.In the end, the account balance was indeed as You Hongyin expected, and the income was almost [-] times.
"You lost again." You Hongyin left the apartment and went out to look for food in casual clothes.
"I memorized the thousand words below the Diamond Sutra two days in advance." Gu Tian said nonsense.
"Well, so, did you already know that you would lose?" You Hongyin said.
Gu Tianhu didn't answer, but said, "Are futures so exciting?"
Gu Tianhu watched the lines on the computer go back and forth with his own eyes, but before he realized what was going on, countless people's money evaporated, and countless people became rich overnight.
If it is said that the gambling table is a confrontation between several people or even two people, then futures is that how many people fight against other people. The degree of excitement is similar to gambling.
You Hongyin seemed to see through Gu Tianhu's heart: "Yes, but in a currency war, this kind of scene will be more bloody and ruthless. Some people say that in the financial market, there is no place for herbivores to survive. Here are all The wolves are fighting each other, and the complexity of the financial market itself, the range of industries and people involved are not comparable to gambling."
Gu Tianhu understood what You Hongyin said. Gambling is only a personal win or loss, but these financial transactions are betting on many interest groups, countless ordinary people, and even the entire world's economy. .Manipulating such a situation is no match for a high-profile gamble.
"Can you teach me?" Gu Tianhu was very excited.
You Hongyin smiled, and said: "Studying with me is the best way to learn. If you don't make any progress after watching for a long time, then you are not naturally suitable for this profession."
It means, look for yourself, if you can't learn it, reflect on whether you are too stupid.
BSI